Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.004944 0.005455 0.006006 0.006649 0.007379 0.008186 0.009148
2025-08-03 0.004106 0.004806 0.005621 0.006649 0.007920 0.009457 0.011476
2025-08-10 0.003596 0.004371 0.005318 0.006575 0.008224 0.010345 0.013336
2025-08-17 0.003277 0.004106 0.005159 0.006618 0.008626 0.011352 0.015442
2025-08-24 0.002988 0.003836 0.004948 0.006545 0.008835 0.012091 0.017246
2025-08-31 0.002709 0.003549 0.004678 0.006349 0.008830 0.012500 0.018592
2025-09-07 0.002532 0.003381 0.004551 0.006332 0.009068 0.013277 0.020605
2025-09-14 0.002443 0.003325 0.004572 0.006527 0.009636 0.014622 0.023759
2025-09-21 0.002279 0.003147 0.004400 0.006408 0.009692 0.015135 0.025536
2025-09-28 0.002132 0.002984 0.004234 0.006282 0.009717 0.015591 0.027268
2025-10-05 0.002029 0.002878 0.004147 0.006271 0.009928 0.016385 0.029773
2025-10-12 0.001968 0.002831 0.004146 0.006395 0.010380 0.017666 0.033484
2025-10-19 0.001864 0.002715 0.004033 0.006334 0.010517 0.018414 0.036314
2025-10-26 0.001779 0.002624 0.003956 0.006331 0.010763 0.019418 0.039957
2025-11-02 0.001689 0.002520 0.003849 0.006262 0.010874 0.020159 0.043145
2025-11-09 0.001628 0.002458 0.003805 0.006302 0.011198 0.021386 0.047817
2025-11-16 0.001553 0.002367 0.003707 0.006233 0.011296 0.022139 0.051452
2025-11-23 0.001463 0.002248 0.003554 0.006049 0.011139 0.022297 0.053508
2025-11-30 0.001409 0.002185 0.003493 0.006033 0.011329 0.023281 0.058170
2025-12-07 0.001389 0.002179 0.003533 0.006216 0.011965 0.025423 0.066941
2025-12-14 0.001326 0.002096 0.003428 0.006104 0.011939 0.025933 0.070727
2025-12-21 0.001266 0.002015 0.003324 0.005986 0.011887 0.026369 0.074403
2025-12-28 0.001225 0.001966 0.003275 0.005975 0.012081 0.027479 0.080793